Christopher Grafton CMT

Chris has been involved in the markets for 20 years. He is the author of Mastering Hurst Cycle Analysis and is an experienced working technician. Chris holds the CMT qualification.

498 posts

Macro Outlook - 16 June 2025

The US Dollar still looks heavy and price is being sucked down into an 80 day cycle low. S&P500 futures could very well be setting up for a burst higher. Oil is approaching a natural intermediate target around 80. Bitcoin is pushing tactically but a big trough is looming ahead ...

3 days ago • 5 min read

Oil (WTI) update - 13 June 2025

Oil (WTI) - new 80 day cycle rising, but nearing first 20 day cycle peak. ...

6 days ago • 1 min read

Macro Outlook - 9 June 2025

USD rounding 40 day cycle trough and Gold falling. S&P 500 80 day top probably in place. Bitcoin in last rally of the cycle ...

10 days ago • 4 min read

US 10 Year Yield - 5 June 2025

US 10 year note bond yields nearing 80 day cycle trough zone ...

14 days ago • 1 min read

Macro Outlook - 2 June 2025

Overall there is a fair bit of conflict afoot. The assumption is that the Dollar has rounded a 40 day cycle trough and should advance, but we are also seeing near term strength in commodities and Treasury Notes. This week feels like a crux of some sort. ...

17 days ago • 4 min read

Macro Outlook - 27 May 2025

This week we are looking for the US Dollar to bottom and for Gold, Copper and the Euro to retreat. Oil is meandering but likely has a little more upside near term. Bitcoin still has merit as a long and we will review towards 120k ...

23 days ago • 3 min read

Bitcoin update - 21 May 2025

Bitcoin - revised view, looking higher for 20 week cycle peak. ...

a month ago • 1 min read

Macro Outlook - 19 May 2025

S&P500 futures just topped at 40 day cycle magnitude along with Nikkei futures and potentially Bitcoin. At this stage we are not looking for meaningful resets lower. The US Dollar is still constructive in our view and is merely looking for the first 40 day cycle trough at the moment ...

a month ago • 4 min read

Macro Outlook - 12 May 2025

A meaningful rotation higher is underway with the US Dollar and USDJPY and perhaps anachronistically Oil. Equity indices higher, but nearing a 40 day cycle peak still. Gold we see in continued decline near term. ...

a month ago • 4 min read

Macro Outlook - 6 May 2025

You will come across specific terms in these notes (FLD, VTL, and so on) ...

a month ago • 4 min read