Christopher Grafton CMT

Chris has been involved in the markets for 20 years. He is the author of Mastering Hurst Cycle Analysis and is an experienced working technician. Chris holds the CMT qualification.

503 posts

Macro Outlook - 7 July 2025

The US Dollar and JPY look to have turned a corner. ES is due a reset but the overall price path is ever higher. Bitcoin as well. Copper just put in an 80 day cycle peak and Oil is falling towards its next 40 day cycle trough ...

4 days ago • 4 min read

10 Year Treasury futures - 2 July 2025

10 Year Treasury futures (TY) - 80 day cycle peak in place? ...

9 days ago • 1 min read

Macro Outlook - 30 June 2025

We continue to look for an 80 day cycle trough in the US Dollar and Japanese yen which we believe will lead to a macro rotation. Meanwhile ES, EUR, Copper and Bitcoin push higher ...

11 days ago • 4 min read

US Dollar update - 26 June 2025

US Dollar - 80 day cycle trough has been pushed forward but is close ...

15 days ago • 1 min read

Macro Outlook - 23 June 2025

The US Dollar looks to have rounded an 80 day cycle trough and is set to push. Conversely Gold and the Euro are heavy. S&P 500 E-minis are heading lower towards the next 80 day cycle trough, but Bitcoin is entering a 20 week cycle trough zone ...

18 days ago • 3 min read

Macro Outlook - 16 June 2025

The US Dollar still looks heavy and price is being sucked down into an 80 day cycle low. S&P500 futures could very well be setting up for a burst higher. Oil is approaching a natural intermediate target around 80. Bitcoin is pushing tactically but a big trough is looming ahead ...

25 days ago • 5 min read

Oil (WTI) update - 13 June 2025

Oil (WTI) - new 80 day cycle rising, but nearing first 20 day cycle peak. ...

a month ago • 1 min read

Macro Outlook - 9 June 2025

USD rounding 40 day cycle trough and Gold falling. S&P 500 80 day top probably in place. Bitcoin in last rally of the cycle ...

a month ago • 4 min read

US 10 Year Yield - 5 June 2025

US 10 year note bond yields nearing 80 day cycle trough zone ...

a month ago • 1 min read

Macro Outlook - 2 June 2025

Overall there is a fair bit of conflict afoot. The assumption is that the Dollar has rounded a 40 day cycle trough and should advance, but we are also seeing near term strength in commodities and Treasury Notes. This week feels like a crux of some sort. ...

a month ago • 4 min read