Macro Outlook - 12 May 2026

Macro Outlook May 12, 2026

You will come across specific terms in these notes (FLD, VTL, and so on). Rather than explain them each time, you will find definitions here: guidance notes for Hurst cycles terminology.

US Dollar Up (80D trough). Gold Up (->20D trough). Oil Up (->20D peak). Copper Up (->40D peak). USDJPY Up (80D trough). EURUSD Down (->40D trough). SPX E-minis Down (->40D trough). Nikkei futures Down (->40D trough). Bitcoin Down (->20W peak). Ten Year Notes Up (40D trough).

Christopher Grafton CMT

Chris has been involved in the markets for 20 years. He is the author of Mastering Hurst Cycle Analysis and is an experienced working technician. Chris holds the CMT qualification.