Macro Outlook - 18 November 2025

Macro Outlook Nov 18, 2025

You will come across specific terms in these notes (FLD, VTL, and so on). Rather than explain them each time, you will find definitions here: guidance notes for Hurst cycles terminology.

US Dollar Up (20D trough). Gold SmallUp (20D trough). Oil SmallUp (->40D trough). Copper Down (->20D trough). USDJPY Down (80D peak). EURUSD Down (->20D trough). SPX E-minis Down/Reverse (->80D trough). Nikkei Down/Reverse (->80D trough). Bitcoin Down/Reverse (->80D trough). 10Y Notes Down (->80D trough).

Christopher Grafton CMT

Chris has been involved in the markets for 20 years. He is the author of Mastering Hurst Cycle Analysis and is an experienced working technician. Chris holds the CMT qualification.

Recommended for you

Macro Outlook

Macro Outlook - 10 November 2025

US Dollar SmallDown (->20D trough). Gold Up (80D trough). Oil Up (20D trough). Copper Up (80D trough). USDJPY Up (->80D peak). EURUSD Bounce? (80D trough). SPX E-minis Bounce (40D trough). Nikkei Bounce (40D trough). Bitcoin Bounce (80D trough). 10Y Notes Bounce (40D trough). ...

8 days ago • 4 min read

Macro Outlook

Macro Outlook - 3 November 2025

US Dollar Up (->80D peak). Gold reacts Up? (80D trough). Oil Up (-> 40D peak). Copper Down (-> 80D trough). USDJPY Up (->80D peak). EURUSD Down (-> 80D trough). SPX ES-minis Down (= 80D peak?). Nikkei (->20W peak) Down. Bitcoin Down (-> 80D trough). ...

15 days ago • 3 min read

Macro Outlook

Macro Outlook - 27 October 2025

US Dollar Up (->80D peak). Gold reacts Up? (80D trough). Oil Up (new 80D cycle). USDJPY small Up? (->80D peak). SPX ES1 (->80D peak) Stall. Nikkei (->20W peak) Down reversal. Bitcoin (-> 40D peak) small Up. 10Y notes (-> 40D trough) small Down. ...

22 days ago • 3 min read

The good stuff straight to your inbox!

Christopher Grafton CMT

Recommended for you

Macro Outlook - 10 November 2025

Macro Outlook - 3 November 2025

Macro Outlook - 27 October 2025