The Macro Brief - 15 September 2026

Analysis & Learning Sep 15, 2026

You will come across specific terms in these notes (FLD, VTL, and so on). Rather than explain them each time, you will find definitions here: guidance notes for Hurst cycles terminology.

The Macro Brief is an excerpt from our weekly Macro Outlook newsletter. Today we are highlighting the US Dollar and Oil.

General outlook: US Dollar Up (80D trough). Oil Up (-> 80D peak).

US Dollar - emerging out of 80 day cycle trough zone.

The US Dollar has bounced out of an 80 day cycle trough zone. It is challenging the 40 day VTL now, but the preferred view is up past 100.

Oil (WTI) - looking for the next 80 day cycle peak. Up.

Price continues to rise and the next inflection due is the 80 day cycle peak.

Christopher Grafton CMT

Chris has been involved in the markets for 20 years. He is the author of Mastering Hurst Cycle Analysis and is an experienced working technician. Chris holds the CMT qualification.