The Macro Brief - 29 June 2026

Analysis & Learning Jun 29, 2026

You will come across specific terms in these notes (FLD, VTL, and so on). Rather than explain them each time, you will find definitions here: guidance notes for Hurst cycles terminology.

The Macro Brief is an excerpt from our weekly Macro Outlook newsletter. Today we are highlighting the US Dollar and S&P 500.

General outlook: US Dollar Down (40D peak). SPX E-minis Up (->20D peak).

US Dollar - 40 day cycle peak in place. Down.

The 40 day cycle peak looks to be in place. We are looking for a mild pullback into the 10 day cycle trough and then potentially a counter-trend push higher.

S&P 500 E–Minis (ES) - heading towards the next 20 day cycle peak. Up.

The 20 day cycle trough looks to be forming and we are looking for a move back up into the next 20 day cycle peak.

Christopher Grafton CMT

Chris has been involved in the markets for 20 years. He is the author of Mastering Hurst Cycle Analysis and is an experienced working technician. Chris holds the CMT qualification.