Christopher Grafton CMT

Chris has been involved in the markets for 20 years. He is the author of Mastering Hurst Cycle Analysis and is an experienced working technician. Chris holds the CMT qualification.

506 posts

UK 10 year gilts update - 23 October 2024

We wrote a pretty thorough long and near term analysis back on 16 October in which the basic premise was that a very long cycle trough was due around now but that price would tactically drop first. We have now been through the anticipated decline and have rebounded out ... ...

9 months ago • 1 min read

NVIDIA update - 23 October 2024

We last looked at NVDA on 9 October at 132.89 close, looking for a rally expansion towards 150 with the 40 and 20 week cycle upswings acting as a tailwind. Price is now 7 points away from 150 and the analysis suggests ... ...

9 months ago • 1 min read

WTI Oil update - 22 October 2024

In Monday's macro outlook we were looking for a 40 day cycle trough potentially around the 20 day VTL and imminently. If we don't get a failure intraday ... ...

9 months ago • 1 min read

Natural Gas update - 22 October 2024

In the last update (8 October) we were tracking the 80 day cycle trough around mid month and 2.5. Price has fallen pretty hard since then and down through the original target ... ...

9 months ago • 1 min read

10 year US Treasury notes update - 21 October 2024

We were looking for a counter-trend 40 day cycle upswing to around 113 and then a top out and decline into the 80 day cycle trough due around mid next month. What next? ...

9 months ago • 1 min read

Macro Outlook - 21 October 2024

Our Monday update on macro instruments, including BTC: we are looking for the next minor inflection to be the 20 day cycle peak due by month end and above 70,000 ...

9 months ago • 5 min read

Copper update - 18 October 2024

In Monday's macro outlook we were looking lower for the 80 day cycle trough. Price has continued to fall across the week, but with an uplift in China indices, we could be seeing a bottoming formation now. Time to consider targets and confirmation levels: ...

10 months ago • 1 min read

Russell 2000 Index longer range - 18 October 2024

Monthly bar chart shows super regular and coherent 54 month cycle rhythm. The last 54 month cycle trough was in October 2023. For a slightly more granular view, we look at weekly bars ...

10 months ago • 1 min read

US Dollar vs. South African Rand (USDZAR)- 17 October 2024

The South African Rand (ZAR) is sensitive to industrial metals prices, which in turn makes it a China and a global growth play. Other things equal and simply put, if ZAR strengthens, then the industrial metals market is robust; if it falls then the reverse is true. ...

10 months ago • 1 min read

Bitcoin long range - 16 October 2024

In this update we show the broader context, which among other things has that recent trough as an 18 month cycle ...

10 months ago • 2 min read