ASX 200 (Australian Index futures) - 17 January 2025

Macro Outlook Jan 17, 2025

You will come across specific terms in these notes (FLD, VTL, and so on). Rather than explain them each time, you will find definitions here: guidance notes for Hurst cycles terminology.

ASX 200 (Australian index) futures - counter-trend 40 day cycle upswing, limited upside before fall into 20 week cycle trough.

Price is currently grinding higher in what we believe to be the final leg in the 40 day cycle upswing which started just before Christmas. There could yet be a little more upside in this cycle but the up-sloping 80 day VTL around 8,450 is likely to be a hard barrier. We think price will fade before this level.

Christopher Grafton CMT

Chris has been involved in the markets for 20 years. He is the author of Mastering Hurst Cycle Analysis and is an experienced working technician. Chris holds the CMT qualification.