S&P 500 futures update - 1 November 2024

Macro Outlook Nov 1, 2024

You will come across specific terms in these notes (FLD, VTL, and so on). Rather than explain them each time, you will find definitions here: guidance notes for Hurst cycles terminology.

S&P 500 Futures - 80 day cycle upswing over, heading lower to 80 day cycle trough.

The call in Monday's macro outlook needs revision. The 80 day cycle has peaked and we are projecting down to around 5,600 - 5,650 for the next 80 day cycle trough from next week onwards, centering around 11 November.

There is a lesson in this, mainly for me, but its worth noting:

Christopher Grafton CMT

Chris has been involved in the markets for 20 years. He is the author of Mastering Hurst Cycle Analysis and is an experienced working technician. Chris holds the CMT qualification.