US Dollar | Offshore Chinese Renminbi (USDCNH) - 5 December 2024

Macro Updates Dec 5, 2024

You will come across specific terms in these notes (FLD, VTL, and so on). Rather than explain them each time, you will find definitions here: guidance notes for Hurst cycles terminology.

USDCNH - at least a 40 day cycle peak is potentially in place.

USDCNH is being closely watched by macro managers and traders at the moment - USDCNH chart going up is Short renminbi which is a proxy for weak China-led growth (arguably therefore global growth) and a headwind for example for Copper.

Price is still rising out of a counter-trend 40 week cycle trough (end September) and we are looking at the first 80 day cycle today.

Christopher Grafton CMT

Chris has been involved in the markets for 20 years. He is the author of Mastering Hurst Cycle Analysis and is an experienced working technician. Chris holds the CMT qualification.