Christopher Grafton CMT
Chris has been involved in the markets for 20 years. He is the author of Mastering Hurst Cycle Analysis and is an experienced working technician. Chris holds the CMT qualification.
Macro Outlook
Macro Outlook - 4 November 2024
Into the US Presidential election tomorrow and we expect volatility, which could temporarily disrupt analysis conclusions. Eyes are on equity risk in particular and we look at the cyclic inflections in S&P 500 futures. Also of note is the turn that looks to be taking place in the US Dollar. ...
Macro Outlook
CBOE VIX Index - 1 November 2024
The monthly log chart here is regular and shows stable rhythm, although the last 54 month cycle period was lengthened. The VIX shows the expected volatility of the S&P500 Index (SPX), when VIX rises SPX gets more volatile and moves (either up or down). The analysis shows ... ...
Macro Updates
US Dollar vs. South African Rand (USDZAR) update - 30 October 2024
Updating the call we made on 17 October. A quick reminder of why we look at this emerging markets pair: the South African Rand (ZAR) is sensitive to industrial metals prices, which in turn makes it a China and a global growth play ...
